Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Hoddesdon Town
25.3%
Draw
55.1%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Hoddesdon Town
vs
1.56
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
11.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).