Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Zaragoza
29.8%
Draw
35.4%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Zaragoza
vs
1.05
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
12.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
0-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).