Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Ibiza
30.3%
Draw
46.3%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Ibiza
vs
1.18
Leganes
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).