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DHT: 10

10 Nov 2024 · 16:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.5%
Rubin Kazan
29.6%
Draw
45.9%
Krasnodar

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Rubin Kazan

vs
1.44

Krasnodar

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).