Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.9%
Charlton
15.9%
Draw
9.2%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Charlton
vs
0.59
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).