Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Toulouse
24.5%
Draw
30.8%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Toulouse
vs
1.16
Lille
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).