Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Lyon
23.4%
Draw
25.6%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Lyon
vs
1.13
Lille
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).