Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Mainz
23.6%
Draw
51.4%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Mainz
vs
1.92
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).