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AHT: 10CSV

05 Dec 2020 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.5%
Chambly
26.0%
Draw
27.5%
Valenciennes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Chambly

vs
0.93

Valenciennes

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).