Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Eibar
32.1%
Draw
18.8%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Eibar
vs
0.57
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS28.9%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.549.9%
Over 2.523.8%
Over 3.59.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.9%
0-0
18.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-0
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).