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AHT: 11CSV

06 Dec 2020 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.1%
Wurzburger Kickers
29.4%
Draw
29.5%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Wurzburger Kickers

vs
1.11

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).