Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Shrewsbury
29.1%
Draw
43.3%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Shrewsbury
vs
1.10
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.555.7%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).