Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
St Etienne
20.5%
Draw
48.7%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
St Etienne
vs
2.11
Nice
Markets
BTTS71.0%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.552.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
1-3
6.0%
0-2
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
2-3
5.0%
1-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).