Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Santa Clara
27.2%
Draw
38.7%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Santa Clara
vs
1.44
Estoril
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).