Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
Napoli
20.8%
Draw
12.2%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Napoli
vs
0.65
Venezia
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).