Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Schalke 04
31.0%
Draw
21.5%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Schalke 04
vs
0.80
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).