Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Hull
28.0%
Draw
31.5%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Hull
vs
1.23
Swansea
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).