Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Gateshead
24.2%
Draw
34.0%
Hednesford Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Gateshead
vs
1.33
Hednesford Town
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).