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25 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.1%
Boston Utd
25.9%
Draw
24.0%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Boston Utd

vs
1.11

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).