Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Walsall
23.3%
Draw
19.0%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Walsall
vs
0.82
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).