⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 00CSV

05 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
16.7%
Clermont
19.9%
Draw
63.3%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Clermont

vs
1.91

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).