Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Nott'm Forest
20.0%
Draw
10.9%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.84
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.5%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).