Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Schalke 04
28.4%
Draw
43.7%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Schalke 04
vs
1.41
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).