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01 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Blackpool
22.2%
Draw
50.3%
Lincoln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Blackpool

vs
1.68

Lincoln

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.7%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).