Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Mallorca
27.4%
Draw
27.4%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Mallorca
vs
1.03
Valencia
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).