Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Maidenhead
22.6%
Draw
15.8%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Maidenhead
vs
0.92
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).