Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Villarreal
16.7%
Draw
12.7%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Villarreal
vs
1.02
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
0-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).