Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.5%
Toulouse
20.6%
Draw
15.9%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Toulouse
vs
0.80
Nantes
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).