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11 Oct 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Mirandes
31.2%
Draw
35.7%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Mirandes

vs
0.99

Leganes

Markets

BTTS38.3%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
0-0
14.3%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).