Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Montpellier
22.2%
Draw
52.0%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Montpellier
vs
1.85
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).