Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Darmstadt
27.7%
Draw
53.7%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Darmstadt
vs
1.52
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).