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AHT: 13CSV

12 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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4.1%
Huddersfield
17.1%
Draw
78.8%
Burnley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.32

Huddersfield

vs
2.09

Burnley

Markets

BTTS24.3%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
19.7%
0-1
18.4%
0-3
13.7%
0-0
9.6%
0-4
7.1%
1-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
0-5
3.0%
1-0
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-2
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).