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10 Jan 2026 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.5%
Sociedad B
26.5%
Draw
28.9%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Sociedad B

vs
1.07

Albacete

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).