Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Troyes
22.9%
Draw
16.4%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Troyes
vs
0.68
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).