Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.2%
Fulham
19.6%
Draw
16.2%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Fulham
vs
1.26
Luton
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.9%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).