Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Accrington
29.4%
Draw
44.7%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Accrington
vs
1.16
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).