Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
West Ham
23.2%
Draw
13.0%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
West Ham
vs
0.81
Watford
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).