Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.4%
Hamburg
13.4%
Draw
7.2%
Wurzburger Kickers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Hamburg
vs
0.87
Wurzburger Kickers
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.553.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).