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11 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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85.2%
Wrexham
10.6%
Draw
4.2%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

3.11

Wrexham

vs
0.63

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
4-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
4-1
5.8%
5-0
5.8%
1-1
5.0%
5-1
3.6%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).