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20 Mar 2026 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Motor Lublin
27.1%
Draw
40.7%
Zagłębie Lubin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Motor Lublin

vs
1.50

Zagłębie Lubin

Markets

BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).