Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Chateauroux
25.2%
Draw
53.7%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Chateauroux
vs
1.42
Troyes
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
0-2
11.4%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).