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04 Oct 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.4%
Annecy
26.0%
Draw
29.6%
Red Star

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Annecy

vs
0.99

Red Star

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).