Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Alaves
28.9%
Draw
29.5%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Alaves
vs
1.01
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).