Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Crawley Town
27.6%
Draw
46.7%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Crawley Town
vs
1.29
Accrington
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).