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16 Jul 2023 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.4%
Mjällby
16.6%
Draw
5.1%
Norrköping

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Mjällby

vs
0.45

Norrköping

Markets

BTTS33.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.9%
1-0
14.1%
3-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
7.4%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
5-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
2.2%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).