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01 Apr 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.4%
Wealdstone
27.5%
Draw
39.1%
Boston Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Wealdstone

vs
1.44

Boston Utd

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).