Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.7%
York
7.4%
Draw
3.0%
Oxford City
Expected Goals (xG)
3.77
York
vs
0.70
Oxford City
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.582.3%
Over 3.565.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.2%
4-0
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
5-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-1
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
5-1
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
1-1
3.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).