Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Spezia
33.5%
Draw
22.9%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Spezia
vs
0.76
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.2%
1-0
15.8%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).