Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Bournemouth
28.8%
Draw
23.0%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Bournemouth
vs
1.01
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).