Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Newcastle
26.5%
Draw
34.1%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Newcastle
vs
1.51
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-0
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).